Civil war scenarios derive their appeal from the possibility of a decisive resolution of the present conflict. We are all getting exhausted by the situation and want things settled. Yet eschatology, even in its most refined and secular forms, is not a sound basis for political thinking.
The regime could collapse, but it is much more lik…
Civil war scenarios derive their appeal from the possibility of a decisive resolution of the present conflict. We are all getting exhausted by the situation and want things settled. Yet eschatology, even in its most refined and secular forms, is not a sound basis for political thinking.
The regime could collapse, but it is much more likely to use the next few crises as an opportunity for renewal. The alchemists version of the acronym INRI gets it right: igne natura renovatur integra...nature is made whole (or renews itself) by way of fire. The disgrace and replacement of the gerontocrat gangsters will provide vast opportunities for their most talented proteges to thrive. Leviathan will die, but the eggs it laid will hatch.
Civil war scenarios derive their appeal from the possibility of a decisive resolution of the present conflict. We are all getting exhausted by the situation and want things settled. Yet eschatology, even in its most refined and secular forms, is not a sound basis for political thinking.
The regime could collapse, but it is much more likely to use the next few crises as an opportunity for renewal. The alchemists version of the acronym INRI gets it right: igne natura renovatur integra...nature is made whole (or renews itself) by way of fire. The disgrace and replacement of the gerontocrat gangsters will provide vast opportunities for their most talented proteges to thrive. Leviathan will die, but the eggs it laid will hatch.